I want to quickly get out this post, the Part 2 of my series on who will win the App Phone battle.  This battle is only about 4 times more complicated than the Betamax vs. VHS classic, but there are some interesting parallels.

Scenario 2 – Apple Wins  (here’s the link to Scenario 1 on Android)

The legend of the VHS vs Betamax battle is that Betamax was the superior technology but VHS had more movies and cheaper machines.  And that the adult movie industry recognizing that there would likely be more VHS customers produced more content on VHS.  And then the rest of the movie industry followed suit.

So Video = Apps and Apple has the advantage, right?  While Apple has approximately 10x the number of apps as Android (January, 2010), I’ve been told that migrating an app from one platform to the other is not a major effort.  I think it is very safe to assume that there will be plenty of Android apps for years to come and that eventually they will surpass the number of apps on the iPhone.

Because of the impending growth and evolution of Android and the Google Phone (I’m just going to stop saying NexusOne altogether, it’s a stupid name for anything), and the basic fact that the world does not like monopolies, it is a certainty that Apple will not “win.”  But for many of us, they have won already in terms of creating a highly reliable platform that is quite frankly, a bit inspiring.

The Good: Apple will continue to lead the way in terms of design, function and innovations that we haven’t even thought of yet.

The Bad: The AT&T service will continue to frustrate many of us* and the iPhone will always frustrate anyone who wants more granular control of their mobile experience.  And the review process remains mysterious and slower than the app developer community would like.

*I view AT&T like an airline, I think they are doing complicated things that I don’t understand and they usually get me where I need to go.  I know I’m in the minority here.